Climate zones in Heard Island and McDonald Islands, 1991 to 2020
Share of Heard Island and McDonald Islands's classified land in each Köppen-Geiger zone in 1991 to 2020. Zones under 0.05% are left out. The 677 map cells used cover 88% of the country's outline (about 349 km²).
By major group: E (polar) 100%.
ET, tundra, is the main climate of Heard Island and McDonald Islands, covering 73% of its classified land in 1991 to 2020, with EF (ice cap (frost)) next at 27%. In plain terms, tundra means too cold for trees; a brief, chilly summer. Under the middle-of-the-road scenario (SSP2-4.5), 9.7% of its land is projected to be in a different zone by 2071 to 2099, with the biggest gain going to ET (tundra).
How Heard Island and McDonald Islands's zones have changed and may change
Each row compares a map with 1991 to 2020. "Share in a different zone" is the share of the country's area whose class is different from 1991 to 2020. Future rows are model projections under an emissions scenario, not forecasts.
| Map | Share in a different zone | Different major group | Biggest gain | Biggest loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1901 to 1930 (past) | 4% | 0% | ET +4 percentage points | EF -4 percentage points |
| 2071 to 2099, SSP1-2.6 (low emissions) | 7.4% | 0% | ET +7.4 percentage points | EF -7.4 percentage points |
| 2071 to 2099, SSP2-4.5 (middle of the road) | 9.7% | 0% | ET +9.7 percentage points | EF -9.7 percentage points |
| 2071 to 2099, SSP5-8.5 (high emissions) | 14% | 0% | ET +14.3 percentage points | EF -14.3 percentage points |
For the past row, the comparison runs the other way: the 1901 to 1930 map against 1991 to 2020.
Zone shares by map
| Zone | 1901 to 1930 | 1991 to 2020 | SSP1-2.6 (2071 to 2099) | SSP2-4.5 (2071 to 2099) | SSP5-8.5 (2071 to 2099) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ET Tundra | 69% | 73% | 81% | 83% | 88% |
| EF Ice cap (frost) | 31% | 27% | 19% | 17% | 12% |
Percentages are of the country's classified land in each map. A dash means under 0.05%.
Zones found in Heard Island and McDonald Islands
Data: Beck et al. (2023), CC BY 4.0; country outlines from Natural Earth. In 1901 to 1930 the most common zone was ET. See data sources and licences.
