The climate of Sarajevo
Cfb Temperate oceanic. Mild and damp, with no extremes. Rain at any time of year, cool to warm summers and mild winters, thanks to the influence of the sea. Typical of north-west Europe.
Sarajevo is north of the equator, so summer falls in June to August and winter in December to February. The 1901 to 1930 map put Sarajevo in Dfb (warm-summer humid continental), so its zone is different from a century ago.
Sarajevo: then, now and by 2100
| Map | Climate zone | Compared with now |
|---|---|---|
| 1901 to 1930 | Dfb Warm-summer humid continental | Different from now |
| 1991 to 2020 (now) | Cfb Temperate oceanic | - |
| 2071 to 2099, SSP1-2.6 (low emissions) | Cfa Humid subtropical | Different from now |
| 2071 to 2099, SSP2-4.5 (middle of the road) | Cfa Humid subtropical | Different from now |
| 2071 to 2099, SSP5-8.5 (high emissions) | Cfa Humid subtropical | Different from now |
The 2071 to 2099 rows are model projections under three emissions scenarios, not forecasts. The 1901 to 1930 row is a reconstruction. All come from Beck et al. (2023).
Under the middle-of-the-road scenario (SSP2-4.5), the model puts Sarajevo in Cfa (humid subtropical) in 2071 to 2099, instead of Cfb now. Under the high-emissions scenario (SSP5-8.5) it is Cfa (humid subtropical).
Cities with the same climate as Sarajevo
Other big cities that are Cfb (temperate oceanic) in 1991 to 2020, at most two per country:
Where Sarajevo's future climate exists today
In the SSP2-4.5 map for 2071 to 2099, Sarajevo is Cfa. These cities are Cfa in 1991 to 2020, so they give a rough idea of the future climate (the real conditions would differ in many ways).
- Shanghai, China
- Chongqing, China
- São Paulo, Brazil
- Tokyo, Japan
- New York City, United States
- Taipei, Taiwan
- Sydney, Australia
- New Taipei City, Taiwan
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Population of Sarajevo from GeoNames: 696,731 (rank 829 in our list of 1,000). Climate data: Beck et al. (2023), CC BY 4.0. Data sources and licences.